BANCO SANTANDER SA Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 90.57
| 05971KAC3 | 86.11 8.42 8.91% |
BANCO |
BANCO Target Price Odds to finish below 90.57
The tendency of BANCO Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 90.57 after 90 days |
| 86.11 | 90 days | 90.57 | roughly 2.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BANCO to stay under 90.57 after 90 days from now is roughly 2.57 (This BANCO SANTANDER SA probability density function shows the probability of BANCO Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BANCO SANTANDER SA price to stay between its current price of 86.11 and 90.57 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BANCO has a beta of 0.18. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, BANCO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BANCO SANTANDER SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BANCO SANTANDER SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BANCO Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for BANCO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANCO SANTANDER SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BANCO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BANCO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BANCO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BANCO SANTANDER SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BANCO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
BANCO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BANCO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BANCO SANTANDER SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BANCO SANTANDER SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
BANCO Technical Analysis
BANCO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BANCO Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BANCO SANTANDER SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing BANCO Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BANCO Predictive Forecast Models
BANCO's time-series forecasting models is one of many BANCO's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BANCO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BANCO SANTANDER SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about BANCO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BANCO SANTANDER SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BANCO SANTANDER SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in BANCO Bond
BANCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether BANCO Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BANCO with respect to the benefits of owning BANCO security.