BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 100.10

096630AE8   100.58  0.68  0.67%   
BOARDWALK's future price is the expected price of BOARDWALK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BOARDWALK Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BOARDWALK Correlation, BOARDWALK Hype Analysis, BOARDWALK Volatility, BOARDWALK History as well as BOARDWALK Performance.
  
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BOARDWALK Target Price Odds to finish below 100.10

The tendency of BOARDWALK Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  100.10  or more in 90 days
 100.58 90 days 100.10 
about 15.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BOARDWALK to drop to  100.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.13 (This BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP probability density function shows the probability of BOARDWALK Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BOARDWALK PIPELINES price to stay between  100.10  and its current price of 100.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP has a beta of -0.29. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BOARDWALK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP has an alpha of 0.0268, implying that it can generate a 0.0268 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BOARDWALK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BOARDWALK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BOARDWALK PIPELINES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
100.29100.58100.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
86.4586.74110.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.2599.5499.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.29102.47109.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BOARDWALK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BOARDWALK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BOARDWALK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BOARDWALK PIPELINES.

BOARDWALK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BOARDWALK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BOARDWALK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BOARDWALK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

BOARDWALK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BOARDWALK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BOARDWALK PIPELINES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BOARDWALK PIPELINES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BOARDWALK Technical Analysis

BOARDWALK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BOARDWALK Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BOARDWALK PIPELINES LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing BOARDWALK Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BOARDWALK Predictive Forecast Models

BOARDWALK's time-series forecasting models is one of many BOARDWALK's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BOARDWALK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BOARDWALK PIPELINES

Checking the ongoing alerts about BOARDWALK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BOARDWALK PIPELINES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BOARDWALK PIPELINES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BOARDWALK Bond

BOARDWALK financial ratios help investors to determine whether BOARDWALK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BOARDWALK with respect to the benefits of owning BOARDWALK security.