CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 82.36

12687GAB5   82.36  10.54  11.35%   
CABLEVISION's future price is the expected price of CABLEVISION instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CABLEVISION Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CABLEVISION Correlation, CABLEVISION Hype Analysis, CABLEVISION Volatility, CABLEVISION History as well as CABLEVISION Performance.
  
Please specify CABLEVISION's target price for which you would like CABLEVISION odds to be computed.

CABLEVISION Target Price Odds to finish over 82.36

The tendency of CABLEVISION Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 82.36 90 days 82.36 
about 88.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CABLEVISION to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.21 (This CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC probability density function shows the probability of CABLEVISION Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC has a beta of -0.14. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CABLEVISION are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC has an alpha of 0.2168, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CABLEVISION Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CABLEVISION

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.5382.3684.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.3669.1990.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.5575.3877.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.7189.63104.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CABLEVISION. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CABLEVISION's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CABLEVISION's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC.

CABLEVISION Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CABLEVISION is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CABLEVISION's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CABLEVISION within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
6.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

CABLEVISION Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CABLEVISION for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CABLEVISION generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

CABLEVISION Technical Analysis

CABLEVISION's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CABLEVISION Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing CABLEVISION Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CABLEVISION Predictive Forecast Models

CABLEVISION's time-series forecasting models is one of many CABLEVISION's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CABLEVISION's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about CABLEVISION for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CABLEVISION LIGHTPATH LLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CABLEVISION generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in CABLEVISION Bond

CABLEVISION financial ratios help investors to determine whether CABLEVISION Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CABLEVISION with respect to the benefits of owning CABLEVISION security.