COLGATE PALMOLIVE MEDIUM TERM Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 88.25
| 19416QEJ5 | 86.66 0.26 0.30% |
COLGATE |
COLGATE Target Price Odds to finish below 88.25
The tendency of COLGATE Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 88.25 after 90 days |
| 86.66 | 90 days | 88.25 | about 41.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COLGATE to stay under 88.25 after 90 days from now is about 41.75 (This COLGATE PALMOLIVE MEDIUM TERM probability density function shows the probability of COLGATE Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COLGATE PALMOLIVE price to stay between its current price of 86.66 and 88.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COLGATE PALMOLIVE MEDIUM TERM has a beta of -0.23. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding COLGATE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, COLGATE PALMOLIVE MEDIUM TERM is likely to outperform the market. Additionally COLGATE PALMOLIVE MEDIUM TERM has an alpha of 0.0523, implying that it can generate a 0.0523 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). COLGATE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for COLGATE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COLGATE PALMOLIVE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.COLGATE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COLGATE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COLGATE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COLGATE PALMOLIVE MEDIUM TERM, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COLGATE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
COLGATE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COLGATE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COLGATE PALMOLIVE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| COLGATE PALMOLIVE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
COLGATE Technical Analysis
COLGATE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COLGATE Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COLGATE PALMOLIVE MEDIUM TERM. In general, you should focus on analyzing COLGATE Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COLGATE Predictive Forecast Models
COLGATE's time-series forecasting models is one of many COLGATE's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COLGATE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about COLGATE PALMOLIVE
Checking the ongoing alerts about COLGATE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COLGATE PALMOLIVE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| COLGATE PALMOLIVE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in COLGATE Bond
COLGATE financial ratios help investors to determine whether COLGATE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COLGATE with respect to the benefits of owning COLGATE security.