COMCAST PORATION Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 77.06

20030NCY5   80.64  1.86  2.36%   
COMCAST's future price is the expected price of COMCAST instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of COMCAST PORATION performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out COMCAST Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, COMCAST Correlation, COMCAST Hype Analysis, COMCAST Volatility, COMCAST History as well as COMCAST Performance.
  
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COMCAST Target Price Odds to finish over 77.06

The tendency of COMCAST Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  77.06  in 90 days
 80.64 90 days 77.06 
about 81.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COMCAST to stay above  77.06  in 90 days from now is about 81.2 (This COMCAST PORATION probability density function shows the probability of COMCAST Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COMCAST PORATION price to stay between  77.06  and its current price of 80.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COMCAST PORATION has a beta of -0.16. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding COMCAST are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, COMCAST PORATION is likely to outperform the market. Additionally COMCAST PORATION has an alpha of 0.0131, implying that it can generate a 0.0131 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   COMCAST Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for COMCAST

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMCAST PORATION. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.7480.6481.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.7965.6988.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.0982.9983.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
71.3678.1584.94
Details

COMCAST Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COMCAST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COMCAST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COMCAST PORATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COMCAST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

COMCAST Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COMCAST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COMCAST PORATION can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COMCAST PORATION generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

COMCAST Technical Analysis

COMCAST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COMCAST Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COMCAST PORATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing COMCAST Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

COMCAST Predictive Forecast Models

COMCAST's time-series forecasting models is one of many COMCAST's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COMCAST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about COMCAST PORATION

Checking the ongoing alerts about COMCAST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COMCAST PORATION help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
COMCAST PORATION generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in COMCAST Bond

COMCAST financial ratios help investors to determine whether COMCAST Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COMCAST with respect to the benefits of owning COMCAST security.