CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 63.84

20030NDU2   63.60  0.48  0.75%   
CMCSA's future price is the expected price of CMCSA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CMCSA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, CMCSA Correlation, CMCSA Hype Analysis, CMCSA Volatility, CMCSA History as well as CMCSA Performance.
  
Please specify CMCSA's target price for which you would like CMCSA odds to be computed.

CMCSA Target Price Odds to finish below 63.84

The tendency of CMCSA Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  63.84  after 90 days
 63.60 90 days 63.84 
about 58.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CMCSA to stay under  63.84  after 90 days from now is about 58.86 (This CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56 probability density function shows the probability of CMCSA Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CMCSA 2937 01 price to stay between its current price of  63.60  and  63.84  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56 has a beta of -0.0947. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CMCSA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56 has an alpha of 0.0187, implying that it can generate a 0.0187 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   CMCSA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CMCSA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMCSA 2937 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.6663.6064.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.3954.3369.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
61.4262.3663.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
60.5063.2465.97
Details

CMCSA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CMCSA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CMCSA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CMCSA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
2.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

CMCSA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CMCSA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CMCSA 2937 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CMCSA 2937 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

CMCSA Technical Analysis

CMCSA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CMCSA Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CMCSA 2937 01 NOV 56. In general, you should focus on analyzing CMCSA Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CMCSA Predictive Forecast Models

CMCSA's time-series forecasting models is one of many CMCSA's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CMCSA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CMCSA 2937 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about CMCSA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CMCSA 2937 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CMCSA 2937 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in CMCSA Bond

CMCSA financial ratios help investors to determine whether CMCSA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CMCSA with respect to the benefits of owning CMCSA security.