OFC 29 01 DEC 33 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 81.67

22003BAP1   81.01  0.12  0.15%   
22003BAP1's future price is the expected price of 22003BAP1 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OFC 29 01 DEC 33 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 22003BAP1 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 22003BAP1 Correlation, 22003BAP1 Hype Analysis, 22003BAP1 Volatility, 22003BAP1 History as well as 22003BAP1 Performance.
  
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22003BAP1 Target Price Odds to finish over 81.67

The tendency of 22003BAP1 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  81.67  or more in 90 days
 81.01 90 days 81.67 
about 69.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 22003BAP1 to move over  81.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 69.42 (This OFC 29 01 DEC 33 probability density function shows the probability of 22003BAP1 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OFC 29 01 price to stay between its current price of  81.01  and  81.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OFC 29 01 DEC 33 has a beta of -0.0598. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 22003BAP1 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OFC 29 01 DEC 33 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OFC 29 01 DEC 33 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   22003BAP1 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 22003BAP1

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OFC 29 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.5181.0181.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.6271.1289.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.1680.6681.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.1480.7081.26
Details

22003BAP1 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 22003BAP1 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 22003BAP1's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OFC 29 01 DEC 33, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 22003BAP1 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

22003BAP1 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 22003BAP1 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OFC 29 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OFC 29 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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22003BAP1 Technical Analysis

22003BAP1's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 22003BAP1 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OFC 29 01 DEC 33. In general, you should focus on analyzing 22003BAP1 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

22003BAP1 Predictive Forecast Models

22003BAP1's time-series forecasting models is one of many 22003BAP1's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 22003BAP1's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OFC 29 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about 22003BAP1 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OFC 29 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OFC 29 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Other Information on Investing in 22003BAP1 Bond

22003BAP1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 22003BAP1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 22003BAP1 with respect to the benefits of owning 22003BAP1 security.