COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 84.31
| 22160KAQ8 | 85.15 3.33 4.07% |
COSTCO |
COSTCO Target Price Odds to finish below 84.31
The tendency of COSTCO Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 84.31 or more in 90 days |
| 85.15 | 90 days | 84.31 | about 74.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COSTCO to drop to 84.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 74.17 (This COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION probability density function shows the probability of COSTCO Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION price to stay between 84.31 and its current price of 85.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COSTCO has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, COSTCO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. COSTCO Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for COSTCO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.COSTCO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COSTCO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COSTCO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COSTCO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
COSTCO Technical Analysis
COSTCO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COSTCO Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COSTCO WHOLESALE PORATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing COSTCO Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COSTCO Predictive Forecast Models
COSTCO's time-series forecasting models is one of many COSTCO's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COSTCO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards COSTCO in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, COSTCO's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from COSTCO options trading.
Other Information on Investing in COSTCO Bond
COSTCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether COSTCO Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COSTCO with respect to the benefits of owning COSTCO security.