DEERE CO Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 80.71
| 244199BK0 | 81.15 0.61 0.75% |
DEERE |
DEERE Target Price Odds to finish over 80.71
The tendency of DEERE Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 80.71 in 90 days |
| 81.15 | 90 days | 80.71 | about 78.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DEERE to stay above 80.71 in 90 days from now is about 78.09 (This DEERE CO probability density function shows the probability of DEERE Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DEERE CO price to stay between 80.71 and its current price of 81.15 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DEERE has a beta of 0.47. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, DEERE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DEERE CO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DEERE CO has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DEERE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DEERE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DEERE CO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DEERE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DEERE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DEERE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DEERE CO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DEERE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
DEERE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DEERE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DEERE CO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DEERE CO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
DEERE Technical Analysis
DEERE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DEERE Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DEERE CO. In general, you should focus on analyzing DEERE Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DEERE Predictive Forecast Models
DEERE's time-series forecasting models is one of many DEERE's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DEERE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DEERE CO
Checking the ongoing alerts about DEERE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DEERE CO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DEERE CO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in DEERE Bond
DEERE financial ratios help investors to determine whether DEERE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DEERE with respect to the benefits of owning DEERE security.