DELHAIZE GROUP SA Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 96.76
| 24668PAE7 | 100.56 0.58 0.58% |
DELHAIZE |
DELHAIZE Target Price Odds to finish below 96.76
The tendency of DELHAIZE Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 96.76 or more in 90 days |
| 100.56 | 90 days | 96.76 | roughly 2.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DELHAIZE to drop to 96.76 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.77 (This DELHAIZE GROUP SA probability density function shows the probability of DELHAIZE Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DELHAIZE GROUP SA price to stay between 96.76 and its current price of 100.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon DELHAIZE has a beta of 0.45. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, DELHAIZE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DELHAIZE GROUP SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DELHAIZE GROUP SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. DELHAIZE Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for DELHAIZE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DELHAIZE GROUP SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DELHAIZE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DELHAIZE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DELHAIZE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DELHAIZE GROUP SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DELHAIZE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
DELHAIZE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DELHAIZE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DELHAIZE GROUP SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DELHAIZE GROUP SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
DELHAIZE Technical Analysis
DELHAIZE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DELHAIZE Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DELHAIZE GROUP SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing DELHAIZE Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DELHAIZE Predictive Forecast Models
DELHAIZE's time-series forecasting models is one of many DELHAIZE's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DELHAIZE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DELHAIZE GROUP SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about DELHAIZE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DELHAIZE GROUP SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DELHAIZE GROUP SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in DELHAIZE Bond
DELHAIZE financial ratios help investors to determine whether DELHAIZE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DELHAIZE with respect to the benefits of owning DELHAIZE security.