DOW CHEM 4625 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 85.79
| 260543CL5 | 85.92 1.08 1.24% |
260543CL5 |
260543CL5 Target Price Odds to finish below 85.79
The tendency of 260543CL5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 85.79 or more in 90 days |
| 85.92 | 90 days | 85.79 | about 11.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 260543CL5 to drop to 85.79 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.69 (This DOW CHEM 4625 probability density function shows the probability of 260543CL5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DOW CHEM 4625 price to stay between 85.79 and its current price of 85.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 260543CL5 has a beta of 0.0745. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 260543CL5 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DOW CHEM 4625 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DOW CHEM 4625 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 260543CL5 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 260543CL5
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DOW CHEM 4625. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.260543CL5 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 260543CL5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 260543CL5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DOW CHEM 4625, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 260543CL5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
260543CL5 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 260543CL5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DOW CHEM 4625 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DOW CHEM 4625 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
260543CL5 Technical Analysis
260543CL5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 260543CL5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DOW CHEM 4625. In general, you should focus on analyzing 260543CL5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
260543CL5 Predictive Forecast Models
260543CL5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 260543CL5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 260543CL5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DOW CHEM 4625
Checking the ongoing alerts about 260543CL5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DOW CHEM 4625 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DOW CHEM 4625 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 260543CL5 Bond
260543CL5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 260543CL5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 260543CL5 with respect to the benefits of owning 260543CL5 security.