DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 95.9
| 26442UAG9 | 96.36 0.21 0.22% |
26442UAG9 |
26442UAG9 Target Price Odds to finish below 95.9
The tendency of 26442UAG9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 95.90 or more in 90 days |
| 96.36 | 90 days | 95.90 | about 7.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 26442UAG9 to drop to 95.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.21 (This DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS probability density function shows the probability of 26442UAG9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS price to stay between 95.90 and its current price of 96.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 26442UAG9 has a beta of 0.0679. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 26442UAG9 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 26442UAG9 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 26442UAG9
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.26442UAG9 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 26442UAG9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 26442UAG9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 26442UAG9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
26442UAG9 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 26442UAG9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
26442UAG9 Technical Analysis
26442UAG9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 26442UAG9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS. In general, you should focus on analyzing 26442UAG9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
26442UAG9 Predictive Forecast Models
26442UAG9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 26442UAG9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 26442UAG9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS
Checking the ongoing alerts about 26442UAG9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DUKE ENERGY PROGRESS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 26442UAG9 Bond
26442UAG9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 26442UAG9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 26442UAG9 with respect to the benefits of owning 26442UAG9 security.