EXPNLN 425 01 FEB 29 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 98.71
| 30217AAB9 | 98.23 0.13 0.13% |
EXPNLN |
EXPNLN Target Price Odds to finish below 98.71
The tendency of EXPNLN Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 98.71 after 90 days |
| 98.23 | 90 days | 98.71 | about 65.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EXPNLN to stay under 98.71 after 90 days from now is about 65.99 (This EXPNLN 425 01 FEB 29 probability density function shows the probability of EXPNLN Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EXPNLN 425 01 price to stay between its current price of 98.23 and 98.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EXPNLN has a beta of 0.0424. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, EXPNLN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EXPNLN 425 01 FEB 29 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EXPNLN 425 01 FEB 29 has an alpha of 0.0357, implying that it can generate a 0.0357 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). EXPNLN Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EXPNLN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EXPNLN 425 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EXPNLN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EXPNLN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EXPNLN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EXPNLN 425 01 FEB 29, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EXPNLN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
EXPNLN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EXPNLN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EXPNLN 425 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EXPNLN 425 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Analog Devices Inc Shares Up 2.88 percent on Nov 25 |
EXPNLN Technical Analysis
EXPNLN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EXPNLN Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EXPNLN 425 01 FEB 29. In general, you should focus on analyzing EXPNLN Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EXPNLN Predictive Forecast Models
EXPNLN's time-series forecasting models is one of many EXPNLN's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EXPNLN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EXPNLN 425 01
Checking the ongoing alerts about EXPNLN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EXPNLN 425 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EXPNLN 425 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Analog Devices Inc Shares Up 2.88 percent on Nov 25 |
Other Information on Investing in EXPNLN Bond
EXPNLN financial ratios help investors to determine whether EXPNLN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EXPNLN with respect to the benefits of owning EXPNLN security.