FEDEX P 475 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 85.55

31428XBE5   87.87  4.18  4.54%   
FEDEX's future price is the expected price of FEDEX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FEDEX P 475 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FEDEX Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FEDEX Correlation, FEDEX Hype Analysis, FEDEX Volatility, FEDEX History as well as FEDEX Performance.
For information on how to trade FEDEX Bond refer to our How to Trade FEDEX Bond guide.
  
Please specify FEDEX's target price for which you would like FEDEX odds to be computed.

FEDEX Target Price Odds to finish below 85.55

The tendency of FEDEX Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  85.55  or more in 90 days
 87.87 90 days 85.55 
about 7.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FEDEX to drop to  85.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.21 (This FEDEX P 475 probability density function shows the probability of FEDEX Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FEDEX P 475 price to stay between  85.55  and its current price of 87.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.46 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FEDEX P 475 has a beta of -0.45. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FEDEX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FEDEX P 475 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FEDEX P 475 has an alpha of 0.0246, implying that it can generate a 0.0246 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FEDEX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FEDEX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FEDEX P 475. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.2987.8789.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.9573.5396.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.4185.9987.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.2387.5394.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FEDEX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FEDEX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FEDEX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FEDEX P 475.

FEDEX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FEDEX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FEDEX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FEDEX P 475, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FEDEX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.45
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

FEDEX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FEDEX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FEDEX P 475 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FEDEX P 475 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FEDEX Technical Analysis

FEDEX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FEDEX Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FEDEX P 475. In general, you should focus on analyzing FEDEX Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FEDEX Predictive Forecast Models

FEDEX's time-series forecasting models is one of many FEDEX's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FEDEX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FEDEX P 475

Checking the ongoing alerts about FEDEX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FEDEX P 475 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FEDEX P 475 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FEDEX Bond

FEDEX financial ratios help investors to determine whether FEDEX Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FEDEX with respect to the benefits of owning FEDEX security.