FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 76.54

34964CAG1   73.55  5.36  6.79%   
FBINUS's future price is the expected price of FBINUS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FBINUS Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FBINUS Correlation, FBINUS Hype Analysis, FBINUS Volatility, FBINUS History as well as FBINUS Performance.
  
Please specify FBINUS's target price for which you would like FBINUS odds to be computed.

FBINUS Target Price Odds to finish over 76.54

The tendency of FBINUS Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  76.54  or more in 90 days
 73.55 90 days 76.54 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FBINUS to move over  76.54  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52 probability density function shows the probability of FBINUS Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FBINUS 45 25 price to stay between its current price of  73.55  and  76.54  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52 has a beta of -0.0975. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FBINUS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52 has an alpha of 0.035, implying that it can generate a 0.035 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FBINUS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FBINUS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FBINUS 45 25. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.6078.9180.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.2666.5786.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.4681.7783.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
74.6779.4784.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FBINUS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FBINUS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FBINUS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FBINUS 45 25.

FBINUS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FBINUS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FBINUS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FBINUS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

FBINUS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FBINUS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FBINUS 45 25 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FBINUS 45 25 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FBINUS Technical Analysis

FBINUS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FBINUS Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FBINUS 45 25 MAR 52. In general, you should focus on analyzing FBINUS Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FBINUS Predictive Forecast Models

FBINUS's time-series forecasting models is one of many FBINUS's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FBINUS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FBINUS 45 25

Checking the ongoing alerts about FBINUS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FBINUS 45 25 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FBINUS 45 25 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FBINUS Bond

FBINUS financial ratios help investors to determine whether FBINUS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FBINUS with respect to the benefits of owning FBINUS security.