FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 88.35

35805BAC2   91.18  0.00  0.00%   
FMEGR's future price is the expected price of FMEGR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FMEGR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FMEGR Correlation, FMEGR Hype Analysis, FMEGR Volatility, FMEGR History as well as FMEGR Performance.
  
Please specify FMEGR's target price for which you would like FMEGR odds to be computed.

FMEGR Target Price Odds to finish below 88.35

The tendency of FMEGR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  88.35  or more in 90 days
 91.18 90 days 88.35 
about 1.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FMEGR to drop to  88.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.5 (This FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26 probability density function shows the probability of FMEGR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FMEGR 1875 01 price to stay between  88.35  and its current price of 91.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26 has a beta of -0.25. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FMEGR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26 has an alpha of 0.059, implying that it can generate a 0.059 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FMEGR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FMEGR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FMEGR 1875 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.2291.1893.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.2476.20100.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.7989.7591.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
84.8890.6896.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FMEGR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FMEGR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FMEGR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FMEGR 1875 01.

FMEGR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FMEGR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FMEGR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FMEGR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
1.79
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

FMEGR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FMEGR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FMEGR 1875 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FMEGR 1875 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FMEGR Technical Analysis

FMEGR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FMEGR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FMEGR 1875 01 DEC 26. In general, you should focus on analyzing FMEGR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FMEGR Predictive Forecast Models

FMEGR's time-series forecasting models is one of many FMEGR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FMEGR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FMEGR 1875 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about FMEGR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FMEGR 1875 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FMEGR 1875 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FMEGR Bond

FMEGR financial ratios help investors to determine whether FMEGR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FMEGR with respect to the benefits of owning FMEGR security.