GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 88.18

37310PAC5   87.14  1.22  1.38%   
GEORGETOWN's future price is the expected price of GEORGETOWN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GEORGETOWN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GEORGETOWN Correlation, GEORGETOWN Hype Analysis, GEORGETOWN Volatility, GEORGETOWN History as well as GEORGETOWN Performance.
  
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GEORGETOWN Target Price Odds to finish over 88.18

The tendency of GEORGETOWN Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  88.18  or more in 90 days
 87.14 90 days 88.18 
about 60.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GEORGETOWN to move over  88.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.17 (This GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 probability density function shows the probability of GEORGETOWN Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 price to stay between its current price of  87.14  and  88.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GEORGETOWN has a beta of 0.36. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, GEORGETOWN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 has an alpha of 0.0642, implying that it can generate a 0.0642 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GEORGETOWN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GEORGETOWN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.1387.1489.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.5287.5389.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.8889.8991.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.2587.1190.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GEORGETOWN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GEORGETOWN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GEORGETOWN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315.

GEORGETOWN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GEORGETOWN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GEORGETOWN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GEORGETOWN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
2.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.0003

GEORGETOWN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GEORGETOWN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

GEORGETOWN Technical Analysis

GEORGETOWN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GEORGETOWN Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315. In general, you should focus on analyzing GEORGETOWN Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GEORGETOWN Predictive Forecast Models

GEORGETOWN's time-series forecasting models is one of many GEORGETOWN's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GEORGETOWN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315

Checking the ongoing alerts about GEORGETOWN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GEORGETOWN UNIV 4315 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in GEORGETOWN Bond

GEORGETOWN financial ratios help investors to determine whether GEORGETOWN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GEORGETOWN with respect to the benefits of owning GEORGETOWN security.