GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 98.08

38141GVR2   98.19  1.19  1.20%   
GOLDMAN's future price is the expected price of GOLDMAN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GOLDMAN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GOLDMAN Correlation, GOLDMAN Hype Analysis, GOLDMAN Volatility, GOLDMAN History as well as GOLDMAN Performance.
  
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GOLDMAN Target Price Odds to finish over 98.08

The tendency of GOLDMAN Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  98.08  in 90 days
 98.19 90 days 98.08 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GOLDMAN to stay above  98.08  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP probability density function shows the probability of GOLDMAN Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP price to stay between  98.08  and its current price of 98.19 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP has a beta of -0.004. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GOLDMAN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GOLDMAN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GOLDMAN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.9298.1998.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.9898.2498.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.5897.8598.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.7798.2098.63
Details

GOLDMAN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GOLDMAN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GOLDMAN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GOLDMAN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.004
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.33

GOLDMAN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GOLDMAN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

GOLDMAN Technical Analysis

GOLDMAN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GOLDMAN Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing GOLDMAN Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GOLDMAN Predictive Forecast Models

GOLDMAN's time-series forecasting models is one of many GOLDMAN's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GOLDMAN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP

Checking the ongoing alerts about GOLDMAN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in GOLDMAN Bond

GOLDMAN financial ratios help investors to determine whether GOLDMAN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GOLDMAN with respect to the benefits of owning GOLDMAN security.