Goodyear Tire Rubber Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 98.08

382550BF7   98.10  0.34  0.35%   
Goodyear's future price is the expected price of Goodyear instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Goodyear Tire Rubber performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Goodyear Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Goodyear Correlation, Goodyear Hype Analysis, Goodyear Volatility, Goodyear History as well as Goodyear Performance.
  
Please specify Goodyear's target price for which you would like Goodyear odds to be computed.

Goodyear Target Price Odds to finish over 98.08

The tendency of Goodyear Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  98.08  in 90 days
 98.10 90 days 98.08 
about 61.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goodyear to stay above  98.08  in 90 days from now is about 61.01 (This Goodyear Tire Rubber probability density function shows the probability of Goodyear Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Goodyear Tire Rubber price to stay between  98.08  and its current price of 98.1 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Goodyear has a beta of 0.15. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Goodyear average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Goodyear Tire Rubber will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Goodyear Tire Rubber has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Goodyear Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Goodyear

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodyear Tire Rubber. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.6998.1098.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.29115.01115.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.5597.9598.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.0897.7998.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goodyear. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goodyear's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goodyear's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goodyear Tire Rubber.

Goodyear Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goodyear is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goodyear's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goodyear Tire Rubber, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goodyear within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Goodyear Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goodyear for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goodyear Tire Rubber can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goodyear Tire Rubber generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Goodyear Technical Analysis

Goodyear's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Goodyear Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Goodyear Tire Rubber. In general, you should focus on analyzing Goodyear Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Goodyear Predictive Forecast Models

Goodyear's time-series forecasting models is one of many Goodyear's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Goodyear's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Goodyear Tire Rubber

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goodyear for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Goodyear Tire Rubber help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goodyear Tire Rubber generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Goodyear Bond

Goodyear financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goodyear Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goodyear with respect to the benefits of owning Goodyear security.