GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 76.90

391382AB4   79.66  0.00  0.00%   
GWOCN's future price is the expected price of GWOCN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GWOCN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GWOCN Correlation, GWOCN Hype Analysis, GWOCN Volatility, GWOCN History as well as GWOCN Performance.
  
Please specify GWOCN's target price for which you would like GWOCN odds to be computed.

GWOCN Target Price Odds to finish below 76.90

The tendency of GWOCN Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  76.90  or more in 90 days
 79.66 90 days 76.90 
about 9.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GWOCN to drop to  76.90  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.44 (This GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 probability density function shows the probability of GWOCN Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GWOCN 415 03 price to stay between  76.90  and its current price of 79.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GWOCN has a beta of 0.62. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, GWOCN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47 has an alpha of 0.0927, implying that it can generate a 0.0927 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GWOCN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GWOCN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GWOCN 415 03. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.6779.6681.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.4467.4387.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.4679.4681.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.2982.3286.35
Details

GWOCN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GWOCN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GWOCN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GWOCN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

GWOCN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GWOCN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GWOCN 415 03 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GWOCN 415 03 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

GWOCN Technical Analysis

GWOCN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GWOCN Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GWOCN 415 03 JUN 47. In general, you should focus on analyzing GWOCN Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GWOCN Predictive Forecast Models

GWOCN's time-series forecasting models is one of many GWOCN's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GWOCN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GWOCN 415 03

Checking the ongoing alerts about GWOCN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GWOCN 415 03 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GWOCN 415 03 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in GWOCN Bond

GWOCN financial ratios help investors to determine whether GWOCN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GWOCN with respect to the benefits of owning GWOCN security.