HALLIBURTON 475 percent Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 87.26

406216BE0   91.82  0.40  0.44%   
HALLIBURTON's future price is the expected price of HALLIBURTON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of HALLIBURTON 475 percent performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out HALLIBURTON Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, HALLIBURTON Correlation, HALLIBURTON Hype Analysis, HALLIBURTON Volatility, HALLIBURTON History as well as HALLIBURTON Performance.
For information on how to trade HALLIBURTON Bond refer to our How to Trade HALLIBURTON Bond guide.
  
Please specify HALLIBURTON's target price for which you would like HALLIBURTON odds to be computed.

HALLIBURTON Target Price Odds to finish below 87.26

The tendency of HALLIBURTON Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  87.26  or more in 90 days
 91.82 90 days 87.26 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HALLIBURTON to drop to  87.26  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This HALLIBURTON 475 percent probability density function shows the probability of HALLIBURTON Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HALLIBURTON 475 percent price to stay between  87.26  and its current price of 91.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HALLIBURTON 475 percent has a beta of -0.4. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HALLIBURTON are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HALLIBURTON 475 percent is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HALLIBURTON 475 percent has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   HALLIBURTON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for HALLIBURTON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HALLIBURTON 475 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.9391.8292.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.6476.53101.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.8389.7290.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
88.4290.0491.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HALLIBURTON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HALLIBURTON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HALLIBURTON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HALLIBURTON 475 percent.

HALLIBURTON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HALLIBURTON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HALLIBURTON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HALLIBURTON 475 percent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HALLIBURTON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
2.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

HALLIBURTON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HALLIBURTON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HALLIBURTON 475 percent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HALLIBURTON generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

HALLIBURTON Technical Analysis

HALLIBURTON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HALLIBURTON Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HALLIBURTON 475 percent. In general, you should focus on analyzing HALLIBURTON Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

HALLIBURTON Predictive Forecast Models

HALLIBURTON's time-series forecasting models is one of many HALLIBURTON's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HALLIBURTON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about HALLIBURTON 475 percent

Checking the ongoing alerts about HALLIBURTON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HALLIBURTON 475 percent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
HALLIBURTON generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in HALLIBURTON Bond

HALLIBURTON financial ratios help investors to determine whether HALLIBURTON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HALLIBURTON with respect to the benefits of owning HALLIBURTON security.