HANCOCK JOHN LIFE Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 106.09
| 41013MCP3 | 104.81 0.02 0.02% |
HANCOCK |
HANCOCK Target Price Odds to finish over 106.09
The tendency of HANCOCK Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 106.09 or more in 90 days |
| 104.81 | 90 days | 106.09 | about 5.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HANCOCK to move over 106.09 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.95 (This HANCOCK JOHN LIFE probability density function shows the probability of HANCOCK Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HANCOCK JOHN LIFE price to stay between its current price of 104.81 and 106.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HANCOCK JOHN LIFE has a beta of -0.24. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HANCOCK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HANCOCK JOHN LIFE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HANCOCK JOHN LIFE has an alpha of 0.0649, implying that it can generate a 0.0649 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HANCOCK Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HANCOCK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HANCOCK JOHN LIFE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HANCOCK Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HANCOCK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HANCOCK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HANCOCK JOHN LIFE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HANCOCK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
HANCOCK Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HANCOCK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HANCOCK JOHN LIFE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HANCOCK JOHN LIFE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
HANCOCK Technical Analysis
HANCOCK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HANCOCK Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HANCOCK JOHN LIFE. In general, you should focus on analyzing HANCOCK Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HANCOCK Predictive Forecast Models
HANCOCK's time-series forecasting models is one of many HANCOCK's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HANCOCK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HANCOCK JOHN LIFE
Checking the ongoing alerts about HANCOCK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HANCOCK JOHN LIFE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HANCOCK JOHN LIFE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in HANCOCK Bond
HANCOCK financial ratios help investors to determine whether HANCOCK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HANCOCK with respect to the benefits of owning HANCOCK security.