HEALTHCARE TR AMER Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 82.95
| 42225UAD6 | 95.97 1.87 1.91% |
42225UAD6 |
42225UAD6 Target Price Odds to finish below 82.95
The tendency of 42225UAD6 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 82.95 or more in 90 days |
| 95.97 | 90 days | 82.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 42225UAD6 to drop to 82.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HEALTHCARE TR AMER probability density function shows the probability of 42225UAD6 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HEALTHCARE TR AMER price to stay between 82.95 and its current price of 95.97 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HEALTHCARE TR AMER has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 42225UAD6 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HEALTHCARE TR AMER is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HEALTHCARE TR AMER has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 42225UAD6 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 42225UAD6
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEALTHCARE TR AMER. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.42225UAD6 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 42225UAD6 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 42225UAD6's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HEALTHCARE TR AMER, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 42225UAD6 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0007 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
42225UAD6 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 42225UAD6 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HEALTHCARE TR AMER can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HEALTHCARE TR AMER generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Algoma Steel Group Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend of 0.05 |
42225UAD6 Technical Analysis
42225UAD6's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 42225UAD6 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HEALTHCARE TR AMER. In general, you should focus on analyzing 42225UAD6 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
42225UAD6 Predictive Forecast Models
42225UAD6's time-series forecasting models is one of many 42225UAD6's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 42225UAD6's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HEALTHCARE TR AMER
Checking the ongoing alerts about 42225UAD6 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HEALTHCARE TR AMER help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HEALTHCARE TR AMER generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Algoma Steel Group Inc. Announces Quarterly Dividend of 0.05 |
Other Information on Investing in 42225UAD6 Bond
42225UAD6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 42225UAD6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 42225UAD6 with respect to the benefits of owning 42225UAD6 security.