US48128GT752 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 91.6
| 48128GT75 | 93.37 0.00 0.00% |
48128GT75 |
48128GT75 Target Price Odds to finish below 91.6
The tendency of 48128GT75 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 91.60 or more in 90 days |
| 93.37 | 90 days | 91.60 | about 77.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 48128GT75 to drop to 91.60 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.07 (This US48128GT752 probability density function shows the probability of 48128GT75 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of US48128GT752 price to stay between 91.60 and its current price of 93.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 48128GT75 has a beta of 0.98. This usually implies US48128GT752 market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, 48128GT75 is expected to follow. Additionally US48128GT752 has an alpha of 0.0631, implying that it can generate a 0.0631 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 48128GT75 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 48128GT75
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as US48128GT752. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.48128GT75 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 48128GT75 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 48128GT75's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold US48128GT752, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 48128GT75 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
48128GT75 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 48128GT75 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for US48128GT752 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| US48128GT752 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
48128GT75 Technical Analysis
48128GT75's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 48128GT75 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of US48128GT752. In general, you should focus on analyzing 48128GT75 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
48128GT75 Predictive Forecast Models
48128GT75's time-series forecasting models is one of many 48128GT75's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 48128GT75's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about US48128GT752
Checking the ongoing alerts about 48128GT75 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for US48128GT752 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| US48128GT752 had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 48128GT75 Bond
48128GT75 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 48128GT75 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 48128GT75 with respect to the benefits of owning 48128GT75 security.