KIM 32 01 APR 32 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 88.74

49446RAZ2   90.06  0.09  0.10%   
49446RAZ2's future price is the expected price of 49446RAZ2 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KIM 32 01 APR 32 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 49446RAZ2 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 49446RAZ2 Correlation, 49446RAZ2 Hype Analysis, 49446RAZ2 Volatility, 49446RAZ2 History as well as 49446RAZ2 Performance.
  
Please specify 49446RAZ2's target price for which you would like 49446RAZ2 odds to be computed.

49446RAZ2 Target Price Odds to finish below 88.74

The tendency of 49446RAZ2 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  88.74  or more in 90 days
 90.06 90 days 88.74 
about 32.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 49446RAZ2 to drop to  88.74  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.46 (This KIM 32 01 APR 32 probability density function shows the probability of 49446RAZ2 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KIM 32 01 price to stay between  88.74  and its current price of 90.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 49446RAZ2 has a beta of 0.0581. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 49446RAZ2 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KIM 32 01 APR 32 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KIM 32 01 APR 32 has an alpha of 0.0355, implying that it can generate a 0.0355 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   49446RAZ2 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 49446RAZ2

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KIM 32 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.3790.0691.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.6677.3599.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.4090.0991.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.4488.7591.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 49446RAZ2. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 49446RAZ2's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 49446RAZ2's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KIM 32 01.

49446RAZ2 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 49446RAZ2 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 49446RAZ2's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KIM 32 01 APR 32, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 49446RAZ2 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

49446RAZ2 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 49446RAZ2 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KIM 32 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

49446RAZ2 Technical Analysis

49446RAZ2's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 49446RAZ2 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KIM 32 01 APR 32. In general, you should focus on analyzing 49446RAZ2 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

49446RAZ2 Predictive Forecast Models

49446RAZ2's time-series forecasting models is one of many 49446RAZ2's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 49446RAZ2's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about KIM 32 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about 49446RAZ2 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KIM 32 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in 49446RAZ2 Bond

49446RAZ2 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 49446RAZ2 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 49446RAZ2 with respect to the benefits of owning 49446RAZ2 security.