KRAFT FOODS GROUP Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 110.42
| 50076QAN6 | 109.74 1.97 1.83% |
KRAFT |
KRAFT Target Price Odds to finish below 110.42
The tendency of KRAFT Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 110.42 after 90 days |
| 109.74 | 90 days | 110.42 | about 37.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KRAFT to stay under 110.42 after 90 days from now is about 37.46 (This KRAFT FOODS GROUP probability density function shows the probability of KRAFT Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KRAFT FOODS GROUP price to stay between its current price of 109.74 and 110.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KRAFT has a beta of 0.0819. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, KRAFT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KRAFT FOODS GROUP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KRAFT FOODS GROUP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KRAFT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KRAFT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KRAFT FOODS GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KRAFT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KRAFT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KRAFT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KRAFT FOODS GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KRAFT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
KRAFT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KRAFT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KRAFT FOODS GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KRAFT FOODS GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
KRAFT Technical Analysis
KRAFT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KRAFT Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KRAFT FOODS GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing KRAFT Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KRAFT Predictive Forecast Models
KRAFT's time-series forecasting models is one of many KRAFT's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KRAFT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KRAFT FOODS GROUP
Checking the ongoing alerts about KRAFT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KRAFT FOODS GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KRAFT FOODS GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in KRAFT Bond
KRAFT financial ratios help investors to determine whether KRAFT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KRAFT with respect to the benefits of owning KRAFT security.