LOEWS P 6 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 107.65

540424AP3   108.27  0.19  0.18%   
LOEWS's future price is the expected price of LOEWS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LOEWS P 6 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LOEWS Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, LOEWS Correlation, LOEWS Hype Analysis, LOEWS Volatility, LOEWS History as well as LOEWS Performance.
  
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LOEWS Target Price Odds to finish below 107.65

The tendency of LOEWS Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  107.65  or more in 90 days
 108.27 90 days 107.65 
about 21.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LOEWS to drop to  107.65  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.68 (This LOEWS P 6 probability density function shows the probability of LOEWS Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LOEWS P 6 price to stay between  107.65  and its current price of 108.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LOEWS has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, LOEWS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LOEWS P 6 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LOEWS P 6 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LOEWS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LOEWS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOEWS P 6. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
107.65108.27108.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
107.41108.03108.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
107.33107.95108.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.44106.52109.60
Details

LOEWS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LOEWS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LOEWS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LOEWS P 6, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LOEWS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

LOEWS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LOEWS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LOEWS P 6 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LOEWS P 6 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

LOEWS Technical Analysis

LOEWS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LOEWS Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LOEWS P 6. In general, you should focus on analyzing LOEWS Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LOEWS Predictive Forecast Models

LOEWS's time-series forecasting models is one of many LOEWS's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LOEWS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LOEWS P 6

Checking the ongoing alerts about LOEWS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LOEWS P 6 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LOEWS P 6 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in LOEWS Bond

LOEWS financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOEWS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOEWS with respect to the benefits of owning LOEWS security.