LOEWS P 4125 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 81.47
| 540424AR9 | 86.67 1.05 1.23% |
LOEWS |
LOEWS Target Price Odds to finish below 81.47
The tendency of LOEWS Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 81.47 or more in 90 days |
| 86.67 | 90 days | 81.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LOEWS to drop to 81.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LOEWS P 4125 probability density function shows the probability of LOEWS Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LOEWS P 4125 price to stay between 81.47 and its current price of 86.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LOEWS has a beta of 0.0158. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, LOEWS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LOEWS P 4125 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LOEWS P 4125 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LOEWS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LOEWS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOEWS P 4125. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LOEWS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LOEWS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LOEWS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LOEWS P 4125, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LOEWS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
LOEWS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LOEWS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LOEWS P 4125 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LOEWS P 4125 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
LOEWS Technical Analysis
LOEWS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LOEWS Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LOEWS P 4125. In general, you should focus on analyzing LOEWS Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LOEWS Predictive Forecast Models
LOEWS's time-series forecasting models is one of many LOEWS's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LOEWS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LOEWS P 4125
Checking the ongoing alerts about LOEWS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LOEWS P 4125 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LOEWS P 4125 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in LOEWS Bond
LOEWS financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOEWS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOEWS with respect to the benefits of owning LOEWS security.