LOWES PANIES INC Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 52.47

548661DZ7   65.03  0.78  1.19%   
LOWES's future price is the expected price of LOWES instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LOWES PANIES INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LOWES Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, LOWES Correlation, LOWES Hype Analysis, LOWES Volatility, LOWES History as well as LOWES Performance.
  
Please specify LOWES's target price for which you would like LOWES odds to be computed.

LOWES Target Price Odds to finish below 52.47

The tendency of LOWES Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  52.47  or more in 90 days
 65.03 90 days 52.47 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LOWES to drop to  52.47  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LOWES PANIES INC probability density function shows the probability of LOWES Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LOWES PANIES INC price to stay between  52.47  and its current price of 65.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LOWES has a beta of 0.0074. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, LOWES average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LOWES PANIES INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LOWES PANIES INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LOWES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LOWES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOWES PANIES INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.0865.0365.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.0754.0271.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LOWES. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LOWES's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LOWES's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LOWES PANIES INC.

LOWES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LOWES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LOWES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LOWES PANIES INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LOWES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
2.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

LOWES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LOWES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LOWES PANIES INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LOWES PANIES INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

LOWES Technical Analysis

LOWES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LOWES Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LOWES PANIES INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing LOWES Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LOWES Predictive Forecast Models

LOWES's time-series forecasting models is one of many LOWES's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LOWES's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LOWES PANIES INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about LOWES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LOWES PANIES INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LOWES PANIES INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in LOWES Bond

LOWES financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOWES Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOWES with respect to the benefits of owning LOWES security.