MGIC INVT P Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 96.01
| 552848AG8 | 99.10 0.06 0.06% |
552848AG8 |
552848AG8 Target Price Odds to finish over 96.01
The tendency of 552848AG8 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 96.01 in 90 days |
| 99.10 | 90 days | 96.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 552848AG8 to stay above 96.01 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This MGIC INVT P probability density function shows the probability of 552848AG8 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MGIC INVT P price to stay between 96.01 and its current price of 99.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.93 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MGIC INVT P has a beta of -0.0314. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 552848AG8 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MGIC INVT P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MGIC INVT P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 552848AG8 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 552848AG8
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MGIC INVT P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.552848AG8 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 552848AG8 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 552848AG8's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MGIC INVT P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 552848AG8 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.36 |
552848AG8 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 552848AG8 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MGIC INVT P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MGIC INVT P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
552848AG8 Technical Analysis
552848AG8's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 552848AG8 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MGIC INVT P. In general, you should focus on analyzing 552848AG8 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
552848AG8 Predictive Forecast Models
552848AG8's time-series forecasting models is one of many 552848AG8's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 552848AG8's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MGIC INVT P
Checking the ongoing alerts about 552848AG8 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MGIC INVT P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MGIC INVT P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 552848AG8 Bond
552848AG8 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 552848AG8 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 552848AG8 with respect to the benefits of owning 552848AG8 security.