MASCO P 775 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 110.22

574599AT3   112.21  0.39  0.35%   
MASCO's future price is the expected price of MASCO instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MASCO P 775 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MASCO Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, MASCO Correlation, MASCO Hype Analysis, MASCO Volatility, MASCO History as well as MASCO Performance.
For information on how to trade MASCO Bond refer to our How to Trade MASCO Bond guide.
  
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MASCO Target Price Odds to finish over 110.22

The tendency of MASCO Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  110.22  in 90 days
 112.21 90 days 110.22 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MASCO to stay above  110.22  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This MASCO P 775 probability density function shows the probability of MASCO Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MASCO P 775 price to stay between  110.22  and its current price of 112.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MASCO has a beta of 0.0224. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, MASCO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MASCO P 775 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MASCO P 775 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MASCO Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MASCO

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MASCO P 775. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.68112.21112.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.86104.39123.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
111.81112.35112.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.90111.12113.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MASCO. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MASCO's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MASCO's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MASCO P 775.

MASCO Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MASCO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MASCO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MASCO P 775, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MASCO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

MASCO Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MASCO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MASCO P 775 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MASCO P 775 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Caterpillar Up 7.3 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue

MASCO Technical Analysis

MASCO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MASCO Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MASCO P 775. In general, you should focus on analyzing MASCO Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MASCO Predictive Forecast Models

MASCO's time-series forecasting models is one of many MASCO's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MASCO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MASCO P 775

Checking the ongoing alerts about MASCO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MASCO P 775 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MASCO P 775 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Caterpillar Up 7.3 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue

Other Information on Investing in MASCO Bond

MASCO financial ratios help investors to determine whether MASCO Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MASCO with respect to the benefits of owning MASCO security.