Mattel 62 percent Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 95.66

577081AU6   96.75  4.47  4.42%   
Mattel's future price is the expected price of Mattel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mattel 62 percent performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mattel Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mattel Correlation, Mattel Hype Analysis, Mattel Volatility, Mattel History as well as Mattel Performance.
  
Please specify Mattel's target price for which you would like Mattel odds to be computed.

Mattel Target Price Odds to finish over 95.66

The tendency of Mattel Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  95.66  in 90 days
 96.75 90 days 95.66 
about 91.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mattel to stay above  95.66  in 90 days from now is about 91.48 (This Mattel 62 percent probability density function shows the probability of Mattel Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mattel 62 percent price to stay between  95.66  and its current price of 96.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mattel 62 percent has a beta of -0.61. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mattel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mattel 62 percent is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mattel 62 percent has an alpha of 0.0179, implying that it can generate a 0.0179 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mattel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mattel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mattel 62 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.1996.7598.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.4085.96106.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.8298.3899.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.0797.72106.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mattel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mattel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mattel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mattel 62 percent.

Mattel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mattel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mattel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mattel 62 percent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mattel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
3.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Mattel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mattel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mattel 62 percent can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mattel 62 percent generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Mattel Technical Analysis

Mattel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mattel Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mattel 62 percent. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mattel Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mattel Predictive Forecast Models

Mattel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mattel's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mattel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mattel 62 percent

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mattel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mattel 62 percent help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mattel 62 percent generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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Other Information on Investing in Mattel Bond

Mattel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mattel Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mattel with respect to the benefits of owning Mattel security.