NWIDE 4 14 SEP 26 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 91.25

63859XAD9   93.62  0.00  0.00%   
NWIDE's future price is the expected price of NWIDE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NWIDE 4 14 SEP 26 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NWIDE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NWIDE Correlation, NWIDE Hype Analysis, NWIDE Volatility, NWIDE History as well as NWIDE Performance.
  
Please specify NWIDE's target price for which you would like NWIDE odds to be computed.

NWIDE Target Price Odds to finish below 91.25

The tendency of NWIDE Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  91.25  or more in 90 days
 93.62 90 days 91.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NWIDE to drop to  91.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NWIDE 4 14 SEP 26 probability density function shows the probability of NWIDE Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NWIDE 4 14 price to stay between  91.25  and its current price of 93.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NWIDE has a beta of 0.0196. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, NWIDE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NWIDE 4 14 SEP 26 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NWIDE 4 14 SEP 26 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NWIDE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NWIDE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NWIDE 4 14. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.4093.6294.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.2079.42102.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.9693.1894.40
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
93.8796.7599.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NWIDE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NWIDE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NWIDE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NWIDE 4 14.

NWIDE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NWIDE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NWIDE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NWIDE 4 14 SEP 26, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NWIDE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

NWIDE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NWIDE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NWIDE 4 14 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NWIDE 4 14 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NWIDE Technical Analysis

NWIDE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NWIDE Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NWIDE 4 14 SEP 26. In general, you should focus on analyzing NWIDE Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NWIDE Predictive Forecast Models

NWIDE's time-series forecasting models is one of many NWIDE's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NWIDE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NWIDE 4 14

Checking the ongoing alerts about NWIDE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NWIDE 4 14 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NWIDE 4 14 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NWIDE Bond

NWIDE financial ratios help investors to determine whether NWIDE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NWIDE with respect to the benefits of owning NWIDE security.