Mr Cooper Group Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 96.08

63861CAA7   93.36  6.64  6.64%   
63861CAA7's future price is the expected price of 63861CAA7 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mr Cooper Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 63861CAA7 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 63861CAA7 Correlation, 63861CAA7 Hype Analysis, 63861CAA7 Volatility, 63861CAA7 History as well as 63861CAA7 Performance.
  
Please specify 63861CAA7's target price for which you would like 63861CAA7 odds to be computed.

63861CAA7 Target Price Odds to finish below 96.08

The tendency of 63861CAA7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  96.08  after 90 days
 93.36 90 days 96.08 
about 19.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 63861CAA7 to stay under  96.08  after 90 days from now is about 19.35 (This Mr Cooper Group probability density function shows the probability of 63861CAA7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mr Cooper Group price to stay between its current price of  93.36  and  96.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 63861CAA7 has a beta of 0.28. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 63861CAA7 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mr Cooper Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mr Cooper Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   63861CAA7 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 63861CAA7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mr Cooper Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.4493.3694.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.2578.17102.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 63861CAA7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 63861CAA7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 63861CAA7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mr Cooper Group.

63861CAA7 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 63861CAA7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 63861CAA7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mr Cooper Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 63861CAA7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
3.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

63861CAA7 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 63861CAA7 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mr Cooper Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mr Cooper Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

63861CAA7 Technical Analysis

63861CAA7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 63861CAA7 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mr Cooper Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing 63861CAA7 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

63861CAA7 Predictive Forecast Models

63861CAA7's time-series forecasting models is one of many 63861CAA7's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 63861CAA7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mr Cooper Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about 63861CAA7 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mr Cooper Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mr Cooper Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 63861CAA7 Bond

63861CAA7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 63861CAA7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 63861CAA7 with respect to the benefits of owning 63861CAA7 security.