NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 100.32
| 63906YAF5 | 100.43 0.00 0.00% |
63906YAF5 |
63906YAF5 Target Price Odds to finish over 100.32
The tendency of 63906YAF5 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 100.32 in 90 days |
| 100.43 | 90 days | 100.32 | about 68.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 63906YAF5 to stay above 100.32 in 90 days from now is about 68.72 (This NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 probability density function shows the probability of 63906YAF5 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NWG 5903249 22 price to stay between 100.32 and its current price of 100.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 63906YAF5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25 has an alpha of 0.0198, implying that it can generate a 0.0198 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 63906YAF5 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 63906YAF5
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NWG 5903249 22. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.63906YAF5 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 63906YAF5 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 63906YAF5's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 63906YAF5 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
63906YAF5 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 63906YAF5 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NWG 5903249 22 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NWG 5903249 22 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| NWG 5903249 22 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
63906YAF5 Technical Analysis
63906YAF5's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 63906YAF5 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NWG 5903249 22 MAR 25. In general, you should focus on analyzing 63906YAF5 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
63906YAF5 Predictive Forecast Models
63906YAF5's time-series forecasting models is one of many 63906YAF5's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 63906YAF5's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NWG 5903249 22
Checking the ongoing alerts about 63906YAF5 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NWG 5903249 22 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NWG 5903249 22 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| NWG 5903249 22 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in 63906YAF5 Bond
63906YAF5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 63906YAF5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 63906YAF5 with respect to the benefits of owning 63906YAF5 security.