NORSK HYDRO A Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 107.93

656531AG5   106.53  0.00  0.00%   
NORSK's future price is the expected price of NORSK instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NORSK HYDRO A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NORSK Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NORSK Correlation, NORSK Hype Analysis, NORSK Volatility, NORSK History as well as NORSK Performance.
  
Please specify NORSK's target price for which you would like NORSK odds to be computed.

NORSK Target Price Odds to finish over 107.93

The tendency of NORSK Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  107.93  or more in 90 days
 106.53 90 days 107.93 
about 11.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NORSK to move over  107.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 11.16 (This NORSK HYDRO A probability density function shows the probability of NORSK Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NORSK HYDRO A price to stay between its current price of  106.53  and  107.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NORSK HYDRO A has a beta of -0.0687. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NORSK are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NORSK HYDRO A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NORSK HYDRO A has an alpha of 0.0137, implying that it can generate a 0.0137 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NORSK Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NORSK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NORSK HYDRO A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.87106.53107.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.1388.79117.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.93107.58108.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
105.01107.05109.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NORSK. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NORSK's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NORSK's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NORSK HYDRO A.

NORSK Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NORSK is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NORSK's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NORSK HYDRO A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NORSK within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

NORSK Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NORSK for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NORSK HYDRO A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NORSK HYDRO A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NORSK Technical Analysis

NORSK's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NORSK Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NORSK HYDRO A. In general, you should focus on analyzing NORSK Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NORSK Predictive Forecast Models

NORSK's time-series forecasting models is one of many NORSK's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NORSK's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NORSK HYDRO A

Checking the ongoing alerts about NORSK for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NORSK HYDRO A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NORSK HYDRO A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NORSK Bond

NORSK financial ratios help investors to determine whether NORSK Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NORSK with respect to the benefits of owning NORSK security.