NSTAR ELEC 44 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 84.21

67021CAJ6   87.64  0.44  0.50%   
NSTAR's future price is the expected price of NSTAR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NSTAR ELEC 44 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NSTAR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NSTAR Correlation, NSTAR Hype Analysis, NSTAR Volatility, NSTAR History as well as NSTAR Performance.
  
Please specify NSTAR's target price for which you would like NSTAR odds to be computed.

NSTAR Target Price Odds to finish below 84.21

The tendency of NSTAR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  84.21  or more in 90 days
 87.64 90 days 84.21 
about 7.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NSTAR to drop to  84.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.0 (This NSTAR ELEC 44 probability density function shows the probability of NSTAR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSTAR ELEC 44 price to stay between  84.21  and its current price of 87.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NSTAR ELEC 44 has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NSTAR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NSTAR ELEC 44 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NSTAR ELEC 44 has an alpha of 0.081, implying that it can generate a 0.081 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NSTAR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NSTAR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSTAR ELEC 44. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.5987.6488.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.3384.3896.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.8787.9288.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
86.2488.0789.90
Details

NSTAR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NSTAR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NSTAR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSTAR ELEC 44, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NSTAR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

NSTAR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NSTAR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSTAR ELEC 44 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSTAR ELEC 44 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NSTAR Technical Analysis

NSTAR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NSTAR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSTAR ELEC 44. In general, you should focus on analyzing NSTAR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NSTAR Predictive Forecast Models

NSTAR's time-series forecasting models is one of many NSTAR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NSTAR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NSTAR ELEC 44

Checking the ongoing alerts about NSTAR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSTAR ELEC 44 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSTAR ELEC 44 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NSTAR Bond

NSTAR financial ratios help investors to determine whether NSTAR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NSTAR with respect to the benefits of owning NSTAR security.