NSTAR Electric Co Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 88.82

67021CAN7   90.28  3.84  4.08%   
NSTAR's future price is the expected price of NSTAR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NSTAR Electric Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NSTAR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NSTAR Correlation, NSTAR Hype Analysis, NSTAR Volatility, NSTAR History as well as NSTAR Performance.
  
Please specify NSTAR's target price for which you would like NSTAR odds to be computed.

NSTAR Target Price Odds to finish below 88.82

The tendency of NSTAR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  88.82  or more in 90 days
 90.28 90 days 88.82 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NSTAR to drop to  88.82  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This NSTAR Electric Co probability density function shows the probability of NSTAR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NSTAR Electric price to stay between  88.82  and its current price of 90.28 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NSTAR Electric Co has a beta of -0.0329. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NSTAR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NSTAR Electric Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NSTAR Electric Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NSTAR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NSTAR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NSTAR Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.6390.2890.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.2591.8692.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
88.8289.4790.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.9491.5695.18
Details

NSTAR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NSTAR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NSTAR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NSTAR Electric Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NSTAR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

NSTAR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NSTAR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NSTAR Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSTAR Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NSTAR Technical Analysis

NSTAR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NSTAR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NSTAR Electric Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing NSTAR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NSTAR Predictive Forecast Models

NSTAR's time-series forecasting models is one of many NSTAR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NSTAR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NSTAR Electric

Checking the ongoing alerts about NSTAR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NSTAR Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NSTAR Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NSTAR Bond

NSTAR financial ratios help investors to determine whether NSTAR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NSTAR with respect to the benefits of owning NSTAR security.