NUCOR P 64 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 105.94

670346AH8   110.61  1.26  1.15%   
NUCOR's future price is the expected price of NUCOR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NUCOR P 64 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NUCOR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NUCOR Correlation, NUCOR Hype Analysis, NUCOR Volatility, NUCOR History as well as NUCOR Performance.
  
Please specify NUCOR's target price for which you would like NUCOR odds to be computed.

NUCOR Target Price Odds to finish below 105.94

The tendency of NUCOR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  105.94  or more in 90 days
 110.61 90 days 105.94 
about 1.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NUCOR to drop to  105.94  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.31 (This NUCOR P 64 probability density function shows the probability of NUCOR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NUCOR P 64 price to stay between  105.94  and its current price of 110.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NUCOR P 64 has a beta of -0.52. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NUCOR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NUCOR P 64 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NUCOR P 64 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NUCOR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NUCOR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NUCOR P 64. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.51110.61112.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.5892.68121.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.84105.94108.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.39109.01114.62
Details

NUCOR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NUCOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NUCOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NUCOR P 64, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NUCOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.52
σ
Overall volatility
2.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

NUCOR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NUCOR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NUCOR P 64 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NUCOR P 64 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NUCOR Technical Analysis

NUCOR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NUCOR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NUCOR P 64. In general, you should focus on analyzing NUCOR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NUCOR Predictive Forecast Models

NUCOR's time-series forecasting models is one of many NUCOR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NUCOR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NUCOR P 64

Checking the ongoing alerts about NUCOR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NUCOR P 64 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NUCOR P 64 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NUCOR Bond

NUCOR financial ratios help investors to determine whether NUCOR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NUCOR with respect to the benefits of owning NUCOR security.