OCCIDENTAL PETE P Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 72.15
| 674599CJ2 | 79.04 0.67 0.85% |
OCCIDENTAL |
OCCIDENTAL Target Price Odds to finish below 72.15
The tendency of OCCIDENTAL Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 72.15 or more in 90 days |
| 79.04 | 90 days | 72.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OCCIDENTAL to drop to 72.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This OCCIDENTAL PETE P probability density function shows the probability of OCCIDENTAL Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OCCIDENTAL PETE P price to stay between 72.15 and its current price of 79.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OCCIDENTAL PETE P has a beta of -0.33. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OCCIDENTAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OCCIDENTAL PETE P is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OCCIDENTAL PETE P has an alpha of 0.0443, implying that it can generate a 0.0443 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OCCIDENTAL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for OCCIDENTAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OCCIDENTAL PETE P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OCCIDENTAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OCCIDENTAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OCCIDENTAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OCCIDENTAL PETE P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OCCIDENTAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
OCCIDENTAL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OCCIDENTAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OCCIDENTAL PETE P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OCCIDENTAL PETE P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
OCCIDENTAL Technical Analysis
OCCIDENTAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OCCIDENTAL Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OCCIDENTAL PETE P. In general, you should focus on analyzing OCCIDENTAL Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OCCIDENTAL Predictive Forecast Models
OCCIDENTAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many OCCIDENTAL's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OCCIDENTAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OCCIDENTAL PETE P
Checking the ongoing alerts about OCCIDENTAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OCCIDENTAL PETE P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OCCIDENTAL PETE P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in OCCIDENTAL Bond
OCCIDENTAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether OCCIDENTAL Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OCCIDENTAL with respect to the benefits of owning OCCIDENTAL security.