OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 98.53

681936BD1   99.89  0.23  0.23%   
OMEGA's future price is the expected price of OMEGA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OMEGA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, OMEGA Correlation, OMEGA Hype Analysis, OMEGA Volatility, OMEGA History as well as OMEGA Performance.
  
Please specify OMEGA's target price for which you would like OMEGA odds to be computed.

OMEGA Target Price Odds to finish below 98.53

The tendency of OMEGA Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  98.53  or more in 90 days
 99.89 90 days 98.53 
about 18.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OMEGA to drop to  98.53  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.09 (This OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS probability density function shows the probability of OMEGA Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS price to stay between  98.53  and its current price of 99.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS has a beta of -0.0549. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OMEGA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   OMEGA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OMEGA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.1899.89100.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.4280.13109.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.8198.5399.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.1298.03100.95
Details

OMEGA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OMEGA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OMEGA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OMEGA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

OMEGA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OMEGA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OMEGA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

OMEGA Technical Analysis

OMEGA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OMEGA Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS. In general, you should focus on analyzing OMEGA Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OMEGA Predictive Forecast Models

OMEGA's time-series forecasting models is one of many OMEGA's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OMEGA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS

Checking the ongoing alerts about OMEGA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OMEGA HEALTHCARE INVS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OMEGA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in OMEGA Bond

OMEGA financial ratios help investors to determine whether OMEGA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OMEGA with respect to the benefits of owning OMEGA security.