Oracle Corp 58 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 101.25

68389XCF0   101.15  0.19  0.19%   
Oracle's future price is the expected price of Oracle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oracle Corp 58 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oracle Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oracle Correlation, Oracle Hype Analysis, Oracle Volatility, Oracle History as well as Oracle Performance.
For information on how to trade Oracle Bond refer to our How to Trade Oracle Bond guide.
  
Please specify Oracle's target price for which you would like Oracle odds to be computed.

Oracle Target Price Odds to finish below 101.25

The tendency of Oracle Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  101.25  after 90 days
 101.15 90 days 101.25 
about 40.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle to stay under  101.25  after 90 days from now is about 40.65 (This Oracle Corp 58 probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oracle Corp 58 price to stay between its current price of  101.15  and  101.25  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oracle Corp 58 has a beta of -0.0502. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oracle are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oracle Corp 58 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oracle Corp 58 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Oracle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oracle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle Corp 58. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.04101.15101.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.04101.28101.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
101.26101.37101.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.90101.28102.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oracle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oracle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oracle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oracle Corp 58.

Oracle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle Corp 58, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0065
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Oracle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle Corp 58 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oracle Corp 58 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Oracle Technical Analysis

Oracle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oracle Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle Corp 58. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oracle Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oracle Predictive Forecast Models

Oracle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oracle's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oracle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oracle Corp 58

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle Corp 58 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oracle Corp 58 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Oracle Bond

Oracle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oracle Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oracle with respect to the benefits of owning Oracle security.