PPL ELEC UTILS Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 84.57

69351UAU7   81.66  0.04  0.05%   
69351UAU7's future price is the expected price of 69351UAU7 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PPL ELEC UTILS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 69351UAU7 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 69351UAU7 Correlation, 69351UAU7 Hype Analysis, 69351UAU7 Volatility, 69351UAU7 History as well as 69351UAU7 Performance.
  
Please specify 69351UAU7's target price for which you would like 69351UAU7 odds to be computed.

69351UAU7 Target Price Odds to finish below 84.57

The tendency of 69351UAU7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  84.57  after 90 days
 81.66 90 days 84.57 
about 92.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 69351UAU7 to stay under  84.57  after 90 days from now is about 92.7 (This PPL ELEC UTILS probability density function shows the probability of 69351UAU7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PPL ELEC UTILS price to stay between its current price of  81.66  and  84.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PPL ELEC UTILS has a beta of -0.26. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 69351UAU7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PPL ELEC UTILS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PPL ELEC UTILS has an alpha of 0.046, implying that it can generate a 0.046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   69351UAU7 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 69351UAU7

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PPL ELEC UTILS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
79.9881.0082.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.3968.4189.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 69351UAU7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 69351UAU7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 69351UAU7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PPL ELEC UTILS.

69351UAU7 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 69351UAU7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 69351UAU7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PPL ELEC UTILS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 69351UAU7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

69351UAU7 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 69351UAU7 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PPL ELEC UTILS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PPL ELEC UTILS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldnt Overlook Byd Co.

69351UAU7 Technical Analysis

69351UAU7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 69351UAU7 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PPL ELEC UTILS. In general, you should focus on analyzing 69351UAU7 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

69351UAU7 Predictive Forecast Models

69351UAU7's time-series forecasting models is one of many 69351UAU7's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 69351UAU7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PPL ELEC UTILS

Checking the ongoing alerts about 69351UAU7 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PPL ELEC UTILS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PPL ELEC UTILS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: 3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldnt Overlook Byd Co.

Other Information on Investing in 69351UAU7 Bond

69351UAU7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 69351UAU7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 69351UAU7 with respect to the benefits of owning 69351UAU7 security.