Parkland Fuel Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 98.23

70137TAP0   97.88  2.26  2.26%   
Parkland's future price is the expected price of Parkland instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Parkland Fuel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Parkland Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Parkland Correlation, Parkland Hype Analysis, Parkland Volatility, Parkland History as well as Parkland Performance.
  
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Parkland Target Price Odds to finish over 98.23

The tendency of Parkland Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  98.23  or more in 90 days
 97.88 90 days 98.23 
about 82.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Parkland to move over  98.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 82.98 (This Parkland Fuel probability density function shows the probability of Parkland Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Parkland Fuel price to stay between its current price of  97.88  and  98.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Parkland Fuel has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Parkland are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Parkland Fuel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Parkland Fuel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Parkland Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Parkland

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parkland Fuel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.5397.8898.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.2796.62107.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
97.2097.5597.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.9998.75101.50
Details

Parkland Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Parkland is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Parkland's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Parkland Fuel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Parkland within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Parkland Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Parkland for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Parkland Fuel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parkland Fuel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Parkland Technical Analysis

Parkland's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Parkland Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Parkland Fuel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Parkland Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Parkland Predictive Forecast Models

Parkland's time-series forecasting models is one of many Parkland's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Parkland's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Parkland Fuel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Parkland for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Parkland Fuel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parkland Fuel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Parkland Bond

Parkland financial ratios help investors to determine whether Parkland Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Parkland with respect to the benefits of owning Parkland security.