PHILLIPS PETE 7 Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 106.70

718507BK1   113.05  5.71  5.32%   
PHILLIPS's future price is the expected price of PHILLIPS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PHILLIPS PETE 7 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PHILLIPS Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PHILLIPS Correlation, PHILLIPS Hype Analysis, PHILLIPS Volatility, PHILLIPS History as well as PHILLIPS Performance.
  
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PHILLIPS Target Price Odds to finish below 106.70

The tendency of PHILLIPS Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  106.70  or more in 90 days
 113.05 90 days 106.70 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PHILLIPS to drop to  106.70  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PHILLIPS PETE 7 probability density function shows the probability of PHILLIPS Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PHILLIPS PETE 7 price to stay between  106.70  and its current price of 113.05 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PHILLIPS PETE 7 has a beta of -0.31. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PHILLIPS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PHILLIPS PETE 7 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PHILLIPS PETE 7 has an alpha of 0.0558, implying that it can generate a 0.0558 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PHILLIPS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PHILLIPS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PHILLIPS PETE 7. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
112.09113.05114.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.7492.70124.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.84113.81114.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
106.47109.00111.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PHILLIPS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PHILLIPS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PHILLIPS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PHILLIPS PETE 7.

PHILLIPS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PHILLIPS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PHILLIPS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PHILLIPS PETE 7, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PHILLIPS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

PHILLIPS Technical Analysis

PHILLIPS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PHILLIPS Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PHILLIPS PETE 7. In general, you should focus on analyzing PHILLIPS Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PHILLIPS Predictive Forecast Models

PHILLIPS's time-series forecasting models is one of many PHILLIPS's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PHILLIPS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PHILLIPS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PHILLIPS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PHILLIPS options trading.

Other Information on Investing in PHILLIPS Bond

PHILLIPS financial ratios help investors to determine whether PHILLIPS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PHILLIPS with respect to the benefits of owning PHILLIPS security.