PRAXAIR INC 355 Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 83.01

74005PBD5   82.40  0.94  1.15%   
PRAXAIR's future price is the expected price of PRAXAIR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PRAXAIR INC 355 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PRAXAIR Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PRAXAIR Correlation, PRAXAIR Hype Analysis, PRAXAIR Volatility, PRAXAIR History as well as PRAXAIR Performance.
  
Please specify PRAXAIR's target price for which you would like PRAXAIR odds to be computed.

PRAXAIR Target Price Odds to finish below 83.01

The tendency of PRAXAIR Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  83.01  after 90 days
 82.40 90 days 83.01 
about 54.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PRAXAIR to stay under  83.01  after 90 days from now is about 54.45 (This PRAXAIR INC 355 probability density function shows the probability of PRAXAIR Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PRAXAIR INC 355 price to stay between its current price of  82.40  and  83.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PRAXAIR INC 355 has a beta of -0.12. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PRAXAIR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PRAXAIR INC 355 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PRAXAIR INC 355 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PRAXAIR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PRAXAIR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PRAXAIR INC 355. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.2982.4083.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.2782.3883.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
80.3181.4282.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
76.7682.5388.30
Details

PRAXAIR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PRAXAIR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PRAXAIR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PRAXAIR INC 355, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PRAXAIR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0002
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

PRAXAIR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PRAXAIR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PRAXAIR INC 355 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PRAXAIR INC 355 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PRAXAIR Technical Analysis

PRAXAIR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PRAXAIR Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PRAXAIR INC 355. In general, you should focus on analyzing PRAXAIR Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PRAXAIR Predictive Forecast Models

PRAXAIR's time-series forecasting models is one of many PRAXAIR's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PRAXAIR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PRAXAIR INC 355

Checking the ongoing alerts about PRAXAIR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PRAXAIR INC 355 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PRAXAIR INC 355 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in PRAXAIR Bond

PRAXAIR financial ratios help investors to determine whether PRAXAIR Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PRAXAIR with respect to the benefits of owning PRAXAIR security.