PROCTER GAMBLE 35 Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 79.46

742718FB0   78.98  0.00  0.00%   
PROCTER's future price is the expected price of PROCTER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PROCTER GAMBLE 35 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PROCTER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PROCTER Correlation, PROCTER Hype Analysis, PROCTER Volatility, PROCTER History as well as PROCTER Performance.
  
Please specify PROCTER's target price for which you would like PROCTER odds to be computed.

PROCTER Target Price Odds to finish below 79.46

The tendency of PROCTER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  79.46  after 90 days
 78.98 90 days 79.46 
about 30.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PROCTER to stay under  79.46  after 90 days from now is about 30.64 (This PROCTER GAMBLE 35 probability density function shows the probability of PROCTER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PROCTER GAMBLE 35 price to stay between its current price of  78.98  and  79.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PROCTER has a beta of 0.59. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PROCTER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PROCTER GAMBLE 35 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PROCTER GAMBLE 35 has an alpha of 0.1122, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PROCTER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PROCTER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PROCTER GAMBLE 35. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.0288.9891.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.1388.0991.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
90.1793.1396.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.0180.6988.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PROCTER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PROCTER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PROCTER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PROCTER GAMBLE 35.

PROCTER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PROCTER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PROCTER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PROCTER GAMBLE 35, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PROCTER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
2.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

PROCTER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PROCTER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PROCTER GAMBLE 35 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PROCTER GAMBLE 35 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PROCTER Technical Analysis

PROCTER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PROCTER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PROCTER GAMBLE 35. In general, you should focus on analyzing PROCTER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PROCTER Predictive Forecast Models

PROCTER's time-series forecasting models is one of many PROCTER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PROCTER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PROCTER GAMBLE 35

Checking the ongoing alerts about PROCTER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PROCTER GAMBLE 35 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PROCTER GAMBLE 35 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in PROCTER Bond

PROCTER financial ratios help investors to determine whether PROCTER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PROCTER with respect to the benefits of owning PROCTER security.