PSJHOG 27 01 OCT 51 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 58.38

743820AB8   58.42  0.00  0.00%   
PSJHOG's future price is the expected price of PSJHOG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PSJHOG 27 01 OCT 51 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PSJHOG Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PSJHOG Correlation, PSJHOG Hype Analysis, PSJHOG Volatility, PSJHOG History as well as PSJHOG Performance.
  
Please specify PSJHOG's target price for which you would like PSJHOG odds to be computed.

PSJHOG Target Price Odds to finish below 58.38

The tendency of PSJHOG Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  58.38  or more in 90 days
 58.42 90 days 58.38 
about 5.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PSJHOG to drop to  58.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.57 (This PSJHOG 27 01 OCT 51 probability density function shows the probability of PSJHOG Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PSJHOG 27 01 price to stay between  58.38  and its current price of 58.42 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PSJHOG has a beta of 0.0951. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PSJHOG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PSJHOG 27 01 OCT 51 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PSJHOG 27 01 OCT 51 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PSJHOG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PSJHOG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PSJHOG 27 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.0158.4259.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.8253.2364.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.9756.3857.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
57.2459.8062.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PSJHOG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PSJHOG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PSJHOG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PSJHOG 27 01.

PSJHOG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PSJHOG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PSJHOG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PSJHOG 27 01 OCT 51, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PSJHOG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
2.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

PSJHOG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PSJHOG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PSJHOG 27 01 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PSJHOG 27 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PSJHOG Technical Analysis

PSJHOG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PSJHOG Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PSJHOG 27 01 OCT 51. In general, you should focus on analyzing PSJHOG Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PSJHOG Predictive Forecast Models

PSJHOG's time-series forecasting models is one of many PSJHOG's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PSJHOG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PSJHOG 27 01

Checking the ongoing alerts about PSJHOG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PSJHOG 27 01 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PSJHOG 27 01 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in PSJHOG Bond

PSJHOG financial ratios help investors to determine whether PSJHOG Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PSJHOG with respect to the benefits of owning PSJHOG security.