QVC 545 percent Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 63.82
| 747262AW3 | 60.28 2.22 3.55% |
747262AW3 |
747262AW3 Target Price Odds to finish below 63.82
The tendency of 747262AW3 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 63.82 after 90 days |
| 60.28 | 90 days | 63.82 | about 41.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 747262AW3 to stay under 63.82 after 90 days from now is about 41.23 (This QVC 545 percent probability density function shows the probability of 747262AW3 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QVC 545 percent price to stay between its current price of 60.28 and 63.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon 747262AW3 has a beta of 0.37. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, 747262AW3 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding QVC 545 percent will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally QVC 545 percent has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 747262AW3 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 747262AW3
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QVC 545 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.747262AW3 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 747262AW3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 747262AW3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QVC 545 percent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 747262AW3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
747262AW3 Technical Analysis
747262AW3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 747262AW3 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QVC 545 percent. In general, you should focus on analyzing 747262AW3 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
747262AW3 Predictive Forecast Models
747262AW3's time-series forecasting models is one of many 747262AW3's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 747262AW3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 747262AW3 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 747262AW3's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 747262AW3 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in 747262AW3 Bond
747262AW3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 747262AW3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 747262AW3 with respect to the benefits of owning 747262AW3 security.