SANDS CHINA LTD Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 96.51

80007RAE5   98.10  0.93  0.94%   
SANDS's future price is the expected price of SANDS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SANDS CHINA LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SANDS Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, SANDS Correlation, SANDS Hype Analysis, SANDS Volatility, SANDS History as well as SANDS Performance.
  
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SANDS Target Price Odds to finish over 96.51

The tendency of SANDS Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  96.51  in 90 days
 98.10 90 days 96.51 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SANDS to stay above  96.51  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This SANDS CHINA LTD probability density function shows the probability of SANDS Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SANDS CHINA LTD price to stay between  96.51  and its current price of 98.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SANDS has a beta of 0.0313. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SANDS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SANDS CHINA LTD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SANDS CHINA LTD has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SANDS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SANDS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SANDS CHINA LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.8598.1098.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.5497.79107.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.2896.5396.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
94.2297.29100.35
Details

SANDS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SANDS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SANDS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SANDS CHINA LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SANDS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

SANDS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SANDS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SANDS CHINA LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANDS CHINA LTD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

SANDS Technical Analysis

SANDS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SANDS Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SANDS CHINA LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing SANDS Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SANDS Predictive Forecast Models

SANDS's time-series forecasting models is one of many SANDS's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SANDS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SANDS CHINA LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about SANDS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SANDS CHINA LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SANDS CHINA LTD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in SANDS Bond

SANDS financial ratios help investors to determine whether SANDS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SANDS with respect to the benefits of owning SANDS security.